Strong US job creation forcing Yellen’s hand
The United States’ non-farm payroll growth in July comfortably outstripped forecasts, according the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
The United States’ non-farm payroll growth in July comfortably outstripped forecasts, according the Bureau of Labor Statistics.
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Fed chair, Janet Yellen, announced on Wednesday that the Federal Reserve had once more kept rates steady and signalled fewer hikes in the future.
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The Federal Reserve has opened the doors to a “globally aware” monetary policy, according to Ewan Thompson, head of emerging markets at Neptune.
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So, an ‘expedited’ Fed meeting was called on Monday (11th April) to discuss interest rates. Nothing unusual in that, if in isolation, but the meeting was followed immediately by a debrief to the President and Vice-President by Janet Yellen. Not common practice by anyone’s standards!
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The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold interest rates on Wednesday night accompanied by dovish rhetoric suggested the first rise of 2016 will not come until the summer.
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Markets responded positively to the release of the Federal Open Market Committee minutes, which showed a December rate rise is increasingly likely.
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The rebound in global equities since the beginning of October looks largely played out, unless there is a turnaround in earnings forecasts, said Christophe Donay, chief strategist at Pictet Wealth Management.
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The number of jobs created in the United States in October rose to 271,000 the Labor Department revealed today – far above the consensus forecast of 182,000- fuelling expectations of a December rate hike.
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Nobody on the planet knows when the Fed is going to put up interest rates but Amundi has a fixed income proposition that is ready whenever the balloon does go up.
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US interest rates may still be below 1% in five years’ time, says Martin Currie’s Tom Walker, and equity investors should be happy with 5% annual returns.
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All manner of clichés are dedicated to boosting the confidence of the contrarian, which is understandable given how difficult the role is – especially when you have to report quarterly on fund flows and performance.
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