Six investors on the safety status of govvies
Duration and inflation risk are raising questions about whether government bonds can continue to be viewed as safe haven assets in the current market environment.
Duration and inflation risk are raising questions about whether government bonds can continue to be viewed as safe haven assets in the current market environment.
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Government bonds are “frighteningly risky” and the assets to avoid according to Ashley Lynn, an analyst at Orbis Investment.
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The higher a country’s ESG rating, the better its government bonds perform, MSCI has found.
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An impasse over raising the debt ceiling could see the US hit the financial buffers in early October failing to meet around 23% of its short term obligations, an analysis by Washington think tank the Bipartisan Policy Centre has said.
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Nomura Asset Management’s Dickie Hodges isn’t calling an end for the risk rally just yet, despite the recent government bond rally after president Trump’s policy blunders.
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The spreads of French and Italian government bonds versus German bunds have risen by 600 bps since autumn due to rising political concerns. Fund managers are divided on the question which of the two now presents a buying opportunity. But does that actually matter at all?
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Eurozone investment grade and government bonds continued to see outflows as inflation expectations rose, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch research.
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Growing uncertainty in developed markets and a flight to safe haven assets post-Brexit have skewed valuations, according to an increasing number of industry professionals polled by the CFA Society of the UK.
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Neuberger Berman is looking to capitalise on liquidity in the Asian debt space with the launch of a flexible fixed income mandate.
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Old Mutual Global Investors has unveiled Absolute Return Government Bond Fund for new recruit Russ Oxley and team, targeting cash plus 5% per annum.
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Income investors are focusing too much on volatility, says Rathbones’ David Coombs, and in doing so could be setting themselves up for a fall.
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Being right, but far too early, must be reclassified as just being wrong for a very long time, says Justin Oliver, deputy CIO at Canaccord Genuity Wealth Management. But the question is, is the government bond market one of those cases?
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