Don’t underestimate currency risk
Currency is the “biggest hidden risk” to equity portfolios, yet many investors are not aware of the threat it poses, according to Natixis Investment Managers.
Currency is the “biggest hidden risk” to equity portfolios, yet many investors are not aware of the threat it poses, according to Natixis Investment Managers.
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Old Mutual Global Investors’ Ian Ormiston believes the strong euro is not having a material impact on European companies, but warns this could change if it breaches $1.30.
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The master of reinvention Michel Perera, chief investment officer at Canaccord Genuity Wealth Management, talks about his investment process, the importance of establishing a client’s risk profile and identifying value in UK equities.
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Right now, which currency share class you choose is a much more material allocation decision than the call on the asset class itself, Natixis said on Wednesday.
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Overshadowed by the US presidential election last week was a “bold and historic” move by the Indian government to ban 500 and 1000 rupee currency notes, which is expected to be “transformational” for the economy in the medium term, asset managers said.
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The dollar has rallied in recent days as investors believe stronger US GDP growth and Fed rate hikes will push the greenback up. But markets are ignoring the forces that are likely to drag the dollar down in the longer term.
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Currency investing is a relative trade so needs markets to go up or to go down allowing specialist managers like Paul Lambert to take advantage of the volatility this creates – just as long as they don’t stay still!
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The strong dollar has pushed global dividends down for the first time in the Henderson Global Dividend Index’s seven-year history.
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Neil Woodford has said he believes the United Kingdom’s economy would not be adversely impacted by leaving the European Union, with temporary currency weakness the only real issue.
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The performance of the dollar has been one of the mainstays of global markets over the course of the past 18 months – but things are likely to be more nuanced this year
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As UK’s political landscape becomes increasingly uncertain, taking brave currency positions is not a wise move at the moment, according to Miton.
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Investors should expect further sterling weakness in the coming months, according to Carl Hammer, currency strategist at SEB.
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