Bank of Singapore warns on China credit bubble risk
The Bank of Singapore has joined the chorus of analysts warning that China’s private sector credit-to-GDP ratio is now over 200%.
The Bank of Singapore has joined the chorus of analysts warning that China’s private sector credit-to-GDP ratio is now over 200%.
Chinese authorities face tough choices, but a full blown financial crisis is unlikely, said Alex Wolf, emerging markets economist for Standard Life Investments.
Anybody who says that China doesn’t have a credit problem is lying because when that much credit is pumped into the system there is no way that every single loan is a sound investment, according to Schroders’ head of Asian equities Singapore, Lee King Fuei.
A global player able to leverage off the success of its banking parent, Santander Asset Management believes its Atlas range is a cut above in the world of multi-asset.
India overtook China as the world’s fastest growing major economy on Monday, leading some asset allocators to suggest it might be time to put China allocations on hold and opt for India instead.
The risk of a serious devaluation of the renminbi is likely to continue to fuel market volatility, said Gary Greenberg, head of emerging markets at Hermes.
A quarter of advisers say they do not plan to allocate any investments to China over the next six months, according to research from Cofunds.
Switzerland-based Falcon Private Bank has a base case of 0% returns for China equities in 2016.
China’s gross domestic product growth slipped to a 25-year low of 6.9% in 2015 it was confirmed today, but markets were largely unconcerned.
Investors should expect further bouts of volatility until question marks over global growth and the impact of China are resolved, said Stephanie Flanders, chief market strategist for Europe at JP Morgan Asset Management.
China’s troubles have been overplayed by markets and have ‘simple, feasible solutions’, according to chief economist and CIO at Neptune Investment Management James Dowey.
As Matthews Asia launches an Asia ex Japan Dividend Fund, chief investment officer and portfolio manager Robert Horrocks dispels headline fears over the future of economic growth in China.