Rathbones: Beware ‘innovative’ tech that could destroy wealth

Confusing innovative technology with disruptive products when investing is a “sure-fire” way to destroy wealth, investment manager Rathbones has warned.

Rathbones: Beware ‘innovative’ tech that could destroy wealth

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Investment managers and analysts at Rathbones have warned investors of four areas where disruptive technology could dent returns in the coming years.

Personalised medicine, automation and labour markets, alternative energy and blockchain are the four technological developments that could throw a spanner in the works for investors, according to the report.

Chief investment officer Julian Chillingworth said it was “imperative” investors understood that a feel-good story surrounding a new product did not guarantee a successful investment.

“This isn’t about airy futurology-style projections; as investors, it’s imperative we understand how even for those companies at the forefront of technological change, investment success is not guaranteed,” he said.

He added: “The problem is that even after the dotcom crash of 2000, the ability to value a company properly remains superseded by the desire to re-imagine a future.

“The graveyard is littered with those corporate corpses that went bust before their technologies reached critical mass. Simply ‘buying the story’ isn’t enough.”

Personalised medicine is expected to severely disrupt the pharmaceuticals sector over the next five years, Rathbones’ head of collectives Mona Shah, said, with sales predicted to rise to $178bn by 2022.

In the alternative energy space, companies making or supplying materials for batteries, wind turbines and solar cells may on the face of it seem like a safe bet, but Rathbones head of equity research Sanjiv Tumkur said sharp price falls in an overcrowded market sees many companies fold.

 

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