Asian exports flash amber for Fed hike hawks
The recent fall in Asian exports should raise a few alarm bells for market watchers, say UBS economists Joshua McCullum and Gianluca Moretti.
The recent fall in Asian exports should raise a few alarm bells for market watchers, say UBS economists Joshua McCullum and Gianluca Moretti.
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Fund selectors in Europe have changed tack. A year ago they were strongly in favour of small caps, but now they believe it’s large caps that have the better return prospects, according to data gathered at EIE events across Europe this year.
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China beat market expectations with a 7% year-on-year growth for the second quarter. But in the second half, fund houses are concerned about the financial sector.
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The first UK interest rate rise is likely to arrive in November, says F&C’s Steven Bell, but cannot come soon enough.
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Softer than expected unemployment and wage growth numbers have further muddied the waters in terms of forecasting when the Bank of England will raise interest rates.
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China’s second quarter annualised gross domestic product figure of 7% beat expectations of 6.8% but it has done little to increase investor confidence in the world’s most populated country.
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Consumer price inflation in the United Kingdom crept down a fraction in June to hit flat zero from 0.1%, according to the Office for National Statistics.
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The leading European equities indices have jumped this morning as reports emerge indicating a deal has been reached to offer Greece a new bailout and keep it in the eurozone.
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Chinese markets rose on Thursday, bringing relief from the frenzied selling that had characterised markets over the past few days and hope that the authorities increasingly heavy-handed measures to stop the rout had finally begun to work.
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Consensus is that George Osborne’s first majority budget was a radical one, announcing, among other things new dividend allowances, the abolishment of ‘non-dom’ status and £12bn in welfare cuts. For business, however, it seems it was something of a mixed bag.
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The continuing fall in China’s stock market puts the country’s entire financial system and structural reform agenda at risk, according to Axa Investment Managers and Schroders.
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Most European markets were trading lower (somewhere between 1 and 2%) in early trade on Monday, after Greece’s historic no vote in Sunday’s austerity referendum.
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