Europe takes the lead in dividend growth race

According to the latest edition of the Henderson Global Investors Dividend Index, 2014 could well be the best year for dividend growth since 2011.

Europe takes the lead in dividend growth race

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In the latest edition of its Dividend Index, the asset manager said on a global level, dividends rose 11.4% year-on-year in the second quarter to $426.8bn, largely on the back of a strong performance from Europe.

Europe ex-UK saw dividends up 18.5% to $153.4bn in what is the most important quarter for European dividend payments. While still behind the global average, the HGDI Europe index hit a record 123.4 and in constant currency terms represents Europe’s best performance in at least five years.

“Excluding special dividends, underlying pay-outs still grew rapidly, up 16.4%. Index changes, which brought more European stocks into the global top 1,200 this year, added 4% to the growth rate,” the report noted.

On a geographical basis, France was the best performer, up 30.3% to $40.7bn, but Henderson noted, 4% of this was due to index changes, while 7% was due to currency moves. Switzerland grew dividends 19.3%, the report said, while Germany rose only 3.9%, it said.

Adding: “Austria and Belgium are the only countries to see a like-for-like cut in US dollar terms (both were down by approximately 4%) as Erste Bank and KBC suffered from weak conditions in Eastern Europe.”

In the UK, the picture was slightly more muted. Dividends rose 9.7% to $33.7bn in the second quarter, but Henderson said, the rising pound was responsible 6.9% of the US dollar increase. According to Henderson, UK firms are seeing slow growth in local currency terms at present.

Japan too put in a good showing in the second quarter, which along with the fourth quarter is a seasonally important one. According to Henderson, dividend pay-outs jumped 18.5% year on year to $25.2bn. This, it said was the largest individual quarter on record.

According to the report, if the current trajectory is maintained, it is conceivable that the world’s listed companies will pay out $100bn more this year than in 2013, but it says this is by no means guaranteed.

In a press release accompanying the report, Alex Crooke, head of global equity income at Henderson Global Investors said: “2014 looks set to deliver the fastest growth in global dividends since 2011, only this time, most of that growth will come from increases in pay-outs from firms themselves, rather than from swings in currencies. In 2011, more than a third of the growth came from a falling US dollar.”